Geojit Financial Services Ltd

The stock market has experienced a recent correction, but is it ready to rebound? Let's find out the answer from Geojit's Chief Investment Strategist Dr. V.K. Vijayakumar. In this video, we have covered the following topics: The current state of the market and the potential for a recovery, the impact of earnings slowdown on the market and the potential consequences of a Trump presidency on the Indian economy. Dr. Vijayakumar has also shared his insights on the best stocks and sectors to invest in for the current market conditions. To know more online trading: https://flip.geojit.com/Disclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #geojitoutlook #marketcorrection #stockmarketoutlook #earningsrecovery #trumptrade #investmentstrategy #bankingstocks #digitalstocks #pharmastocks #marketcorrection #marketdownturn #beststocks #geojitoutlook #marketcorrection #stockmarketoutlook #earningsrecovery #trumptrade #investmentstrategy #bankingstocks #digitalstocks #pharmastocks #marketdownturn #beststocks

💼 A perplexing market action in recent days is the inexplicable volatility in FII activity. 💼 A few days of buying followed by yesterday’s massive selling of Rs 11,756 crores is difficult to explain. 💼 What are the factors contributing to this apparently irrational activity? Is this a one-off? Or, is there more to come? Answers to these questions will be available in the coming days. 💼 It is better for investors to wait and watch. Lots of stock-specific actions are likely starting today in response to the inclusion of 45 new stocks to the F&O list. 💼 Buy-on-dips strategy may not yield short-term gains in this market. But this strategy can be applied by investors with a medium to long-term time horizon. 💼 Large caps in financials, IT, capital goods, and telecom are ideal for accumulation from a medium to long-term perspective. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The consolidation phase in the market is likely to continue in the near term. A clear positive for the market is the cessation of relentless selling by the FIIs. 💼 This will give confidence to the retail investors to again start buying aggressively. But there is no room for such high optimism. 💼 Strong dollar is a negative for emerging markets and, therefore, FIIs are unlikely to turn aggressive buyers. 💼 Also, large institutions would prefer to wait and watch for clarity on Trump’s policies and their likely impact on trade and the global economy. 💼 Market action could be stock-specific in response to news flows, like in the case of Adani stocks. 💼 A healthy trend in the market is the fundamentally-driven up move in quality banking stocks. 💼 The resilience in the health care segment can sustain. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼President-elect Trump has already started declaring what he intends to do immediately on his taking office on January 20th. 💼25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports and an additional 10% tariffs on Chinese imports have already been announced. 💼How these countries react to these tariffs remains to be seen. Trump has declared only 10% additional tariffs on Chinese imports indicate that he will be careful not to trigger imported inflation in the US. 💼Market participants will be closely watching this trade space which has become unpredictable. 💼India is unlikely to be impacted in the initial phase of Trump’s tariff plan but may come under Trump’s radar soon since India has trade surplus with the US. 💼Market is likely to consolidate around the current levels since there are no immediate triggers for a breakout or a break down. 💼A major market concern from relentless FII selling is receding since they have turned buyers, though marginally. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼The two-day rally in the market is unlikely to sustain beyond a point since earnings concerns are major headwinds. 💼The impact of short covering and the positive sentimental effect of the Maharashtra election results will be temporary. 💼Too much should not be read into the FIIs turning big buyers yesterday since that was due to MSCI rebalancing with higher weightage to HDFC Bank. 💼Leading banks will remain resilient due to consistent buying and reasonable valuations. 💼In the coming days attention will be focused on what President Trump will do. 💼Trump’s selection of Scott Bessent as the Treasury Secretary is a positive from the market perspective since he is regarded as a fiscal conservative. 💼This can help bring down the bond yields in US thereby favouring EMs. But as of now, the dollar index above 107 is a headwind. 💼A sustained rally in the market can happen only when indicators of earnings revival emerge. This is sometime away. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼The ability of the market to surprise was evident in the 557 point spurt in the Nifty on Friday. 💼This sharp upswing will continue today assisted by the super NDA performance in Maharashtra. 💼The political message from this election is huge and highly positive from the market perspective. 💼A significant feature of the Friday rally was the sharp spurts in many largecaps with some stocks shooting up by more than 4%. 💼This clearly indicates short covering, which will keep the market resilient today. 💼Whether the rally will continue beyond a couple of days remains to be seen since the earnings headwinds will continue to constrain the bulls. 💼Banking and IT are on strong wicket assisted by fair valuations and reasonable growth prospects. 💼Watch out for capital goods, telecom and pharma stocks. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼There are some important takeaways from the market trends in the present context. 💼The Russia-Ukraine war has escalated with Russia firing even Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles. 💼The relentless selling by FIIs continues with the selling spree reaching a record continuous 37 days. 💼But the market has corrected only by about 11% from the September peak. 💼This is a correction, not a crash. The mother market US is bullish with 25.43% return YTD. These factors suggest that the undertone of this market is positive. 💼The market can recover from the present levels since yesterday’s selling was largely due to the fall out of the Adani issue. 💼But considering the headwinds the market is facing, a sustained recovery is unlikely. 💼The strength in the broader market should not be confused with the fundamental strength of the segment. 💼The strength of the broader market, particularly the midcaps, is due to liquidity and not fundamentals. 💼Fundamental strength and safety are in large-caps. Banking and IT are fairly valued. FMCG, metals and Oil& Gas are weak. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼The escalation of tensions in the Ukraine-Russia war can weigh on markets. 💼The element of uncertainty caused by the escalations is high and therefore most market participants are likely to be in a wait and watch mode. 💼However, any sharp slide in the market appears unlikely since the mother market US has largely downplayed the escalation. 💼Sectors to watch are hotels, aviation, banking, telecom, IT and pharma which are doing well. 💼FMCG, cement, petroleum refining and metals are weak. 💼Mutual fund schemes in Banking are ideal for investment now. 💼Systematic Transfer Plans (STPs) can be done in this and largecap category. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼An important takeaway from the recent market trend is that a quick and sharp recovery is not in sight. 💼The momentum that drove the market to its record peak of 26216 in September is gone. 💼There can be recoveries which are unlikely to sustain given the selling mode of the FIIs and the concerns surrounding the weak earnings growth feared in FY25. 💼At best the market may consolidate around the present levels with sideways movements. 💼Sustained up move will emerge only when incoming data indicates earnings recovery. 💼A significant trend is the sustained weakness emerging in large number of mid and smallcaps. 💼Hundreds of such stocks, which had run ahead of fundamentals, and driven by momentum are reverting to mean. 💼Investors need not rush in to grab these stocks which have more downside potential. 💼In contrast quality largecaps are resilient and investors can stick to them. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets