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💼 The market is facing headwinds from relentless FII selling and global uncertainties relating to Trump tariffs. 💼 The sharp surge in Chinese stocks is another near-term headwind. 💼 The ‘Sell India, Buy China’ trade may continue for some time since Chinese stocks continue to be attractive. 💼 The sharp spike in CBOE VIX indicates that volatility will continue for some time. 💼 In the US, long-term inflation expectations are rising, and therefore, the expected rate cut by the Fed is unlikely to materialize. 💼 The Fed might even turn hawkish, impacting US stock markets. 💼 If this happens and the US bond yields start declining, FIIs may cease to be sellers in India and may even resume buying. 💼 The near-term scenario is highly uncertain. 💼 The positive factor in our market is that the valuations of largecaps have turned fair, and in certain segments like financials, attractive—giving opportunities for long-term investors to buy. 💼 Even though the broader market valuations continue to be high, there are opportunities in select stocks in this segment. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Trump’s tariff threats are leading to negative market reactions in potential target sectors like autos and pharmaceuticals. 💼 In contrast, investors are looking for opportunities in domestic consumption plays that will not be impacted by tariff threats. 💼 This trend is likely to be short-term since Trump’s strategy is to threaten with tariffs and then negotiate for tariff reductions on US exports. 💼 Higher tariffs on US imports are inflationary, which could invite hawkish comments from the Fed, negatively impacting the US stock market. Trump is likely using the interim period to negotiate with trading partners. 💼 FII selling in India is expected to continue, particularly with renewed interest in cheap and recovering Chinese stocks. 💼 The selling pressure on largecaps will persist, presenting a long-term opportunity for investors. 💼 Select midcaps, especially in the defence sector, which have corrected and are now fairly valued, may see buying interest as they are not subject to heavy FII selling. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Trump’s tariff talks continue to impact markets. 💼 Trump’s declarations yesterday that the US will impose 25% tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals have impacted India’s pharma stocks since India’s leading pharma companies are major exporters to the US. 💼 If implemented in early April as Trump declared, these tariffs will impact the US as well through shortages and higher prices. 💼 It appears that Trump’s intention is to negotiate and extract concessions before tariffs are imposed. It remains to be seen how this will pan out. 💼 On a positive note, the RBI has indicated a growth recovery in H2 FY25. This bodes well for growth and earnings recovery in FY26. 💼 The market is expected to start responding positively to high-frequency data indicating a recovery. 💼 Additionally, beaten-down midcaps like defence stocks are witnessing some buying. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Despite largecap valuations turning fair, and even attractive in segments like financials, the market remains weak. 💼 India’s underperformance is striking, especially in the context of new records being set by S&P 500 and Nasdaq. 💼 News of Chinese authorities encouraging their top businessmen to invest is another headwind for India. 💼 Chinese stocks are cheap, with Hang Seng trading at a PE of 12.6, which may attract big inflows from FIIs. This could lead to continued FII selling in India. 💼 FIIs are likely to start buying again when the dollar depreciates and US bond yields decline. This shift in sentiment may take time. 💼 A strong fundamental factor that could turn FIIs into buyers is the indication of earnings recovery in India, likely in early FY 2026. 💼 High-frequency indicators might soon suggest a turnaround in growth and earnings. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 The weakness in the market persists despite the mild recovery witnessed yesterday. 💼 The market construct doesn’t favour a rally. FIIs are likely to continue to sell. News flows are not positive. 💼 The US market continues to be strong and may attract more capital flows from other markets. 💼 A new development from Chinese authorities indicates a revised approach to the relationship between government and business. 💼 President Xi has emphasized the need for a “clean relationship” between government and business. 💼 This is seen as a favorable development for reviving the Chinese economy, which is struggling due to the fallout from the real estate crisis. 💼 If the Chinese government’s new initiatives attract positive responses from FIIs, it could spell more bad news for Indian markets. 💼 More money might flow into Chinese stocks through the Hang Seng exchange, where the PE is around 12 compared to India’s one-year forward PE of 18.5. 💼 Since largecaps in India are fairly valued, calibrated buying in this segment is possible. 💼 However, the current market construct doesn’t favor aggressive buying. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

Geojit's Head Investment Strategist Gaurang Shah comprehensively analyses the present downward trend in the stock market, crude oil prices, the strength of rupee, FII selling, Q3 earnings, and the outlook for Q4. He shares his investment strategy for navigating this challenging market and his weekly stock picks. Plus, valuable insights for traders to maximize gains. For more about Global Investments: https://www.geojitifsc.com/Disclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #gaurangshah #geojit #beststockstobuynow #stockpicks #marketcorrection #defensestocks #stocks #crudeoil #rupee #fii #foreigninvestors #globalnews #investmentstrategy #tradingtips #belshareanalysis #bharatelectronics #ashokleyland #ashokleylandshareanalysis #automotive #stocks #gaurangshah #geojit #beststockstobuynow #stockpicks #marketcorrection #defensestocks #stocks #crudeoil #rupee #fii #foreigninvestors #globalnews #investmentstrategy #tradingtips #belshareanalysis #bharatelectronics #ashokleyland #ashokleylandshareanalysis #automotive

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💼 The Indian stock market is underperforming this year, with Nifty delivering negative 3.4% returns compared to 4.19% in the S&P 500 and 11.7% in Europe. 💼 The broader market has seen even larger cuts—Midcaps are down 9.6% and Smallcaps down 22%—a clear reversion to mean from overvalued levels. 💼 The primary cause of this underperformance is the sharp slowdown in corporate earnings this year, with Q3 results showing only around 7% growth. 💼 Modest single-digit earnings growth doesn’t justify high valuations, leading to relentless FII selling that has hurt the market. 💼 The appreciating dollar further exacerbated the issue. 💼 Only signs of an earnings recovery and a declining dollar can reverse the weakening market trend. 💼 India’s macroeconomic fundamentals are strong, and growth and earnings recovery are on the horizon. 💼 US inflation is likely to rise due to Trump tariffs, prompting a hawkish Fed response, which could pull down US markets and the dollar. 💼 This reversal will eventually happen, but the timing remains uncertain. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets