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💼 Uncertainty regarding the extent of an expected face-saving response from Pakistan to India’s Operation Sindoor will weigh on markets. 💼 From the market perspective, it is important that the conflict should not escalate. 💼 An escalation, apart from other fallouts, will also impact India’s fiscal consolidation drive. If the MPC is to continue with rate cuts, fiscal consolidation is important. 💼 The Fed chief Jerome Powell’s observation yesterday that “risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen” and that “we think we can be patient” is a clear message that the Fed chief will not accommodate President Trump’s demand for rate cuts. 💼 The Fed’s action will be data dependent. 💼 A US-UK trade deal appears likely today, and this can be seen as the beginning of trade deals between US and other countries. 💼 In the current context of uncertainty investors may wait and watch the developments on the India-Pak tensions. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 What stands out in “Operation Sindoor” from the market perspective is its focused and non-escalatory nature. 💼 We have to wait and watch how the enemy reacts to these precision strikes by India. 💼 The market is unlikely to be impacted by the retaliatory strike by India since that was known and discounted by the market. 💼 The main catalyst of the market resilience in India is the sustained FII buying of the last 14 trading days which has touched a cumulative figure of Rs 43940 crores in the cash market. 💼 FIIs are focused on the global macros like weak dollar, slower growth in US and China in 2025 and India’s potential outperformance in growth. This can keep the market resilient. However, investors have to watch the developments on the border. 💼 The big shift in market preference in favour of largecaps away from overvalued segments of mid and smallcaps is significant. 💼 FIIs, as always, are mainly buying largecaps. This trend can continue. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Sustained FII buying for the 13th day in a row, supported by a weak dollar, has imparted resilience and support to the market despite the India-Pak tensions. This resilience is further reinforced by tailwinds in the form of soft crude, declining inflation, and the RBI’s cheap money policy of rate cuts and abundant liquidity injection. 💼 These tailwinds have the potential to facilitate high GDP growth and improving corporate earnings in FY26. And the market is likely to discount this by moving to new highs. But the uncertainty regarding the India-Pak tensions will keep the market range-bound in the near term. 💼 Large cap IT has bottomed out. 💼 Large cap private sector banking stocks will remain resilient despite the recent run-up. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets