💼 The New Year begins on a sombre note for the Indian equity market.
💼 The near-term trend appears weak with the macro construct dominated by weak GDP and earnings growth.
💼 The headwinds from a strong dollar (dollar index at 108.5%) and high U.S. bond yields will impact the market through more FII selling, at least in the early days of 2025.
💼 Even though FII selling is matched by DII buying, in this tug of war, near-term sentiments are on the side of FIIs since valuations continue to be elevated and growth and earnings are yet to show signs of recovery.
💼 A trend reversal may happen if the Q3 corporate results indicate recovery in earnings. However, an across-the-board sharp recovery appears unlikely.
💼 Positive cues can come from a growth-stimulating Budget followed by a rate cut by the MPC in February.
💼 Investors should be cautious and watch for potentially market-moving macro data.
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Posted on : 01 Jan 2025 10:59 AM