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Geojit Financial Services Ltd
- Udhayagiri Complex
Kadappakkada
Kollam - 691008 - Opposite Central Bank Of India
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- Open until 05:30 PM
- Tue 08:30 AM - 05:30 PM
- Wed 08:30 AM - 05:30 PM
- Thu 08:30 AM - 05:30 PM
- Fri 08:30 AM - 05:30 PM
- Sat Closed
- Sun Closed
- 2nd and 4th Saturday - Holiday
- Open until 05:30 PM
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๐ผ It appears that the market is heading for a year end rally. ๐ผ Two factors that can accelerate this rally are the sharp reversal in the rupee and the FIIs turning buyers in the cash market. ๐ผ These two factors which are mutually reinforcing can trigger short covering in the market helping the benchmark indices to scale higher highs. ๐ผ The Goldilocks domestic economic set up and the potential uptrend in earnings growth can provide the fundamental support to the possible market up move. ๐ผ However, the high valuations will restrain the rally and keep the bulls in check. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
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๐ผ FIIs stopping selling during the last two days, though a positive from the market perspective, doesnโt indicate a directional change in the market. ๐ผ A lot will depend on the Bank of Japanโs rate decision today. ๐ผ It is almost certain that BoJ will raise rates by 25bp and, therefore, such a decision is unlikely to impact the market. ๐ผ What the market is looking for is the commentary from the Japanese central bank regarding future rate action in the context of inflation in Japan. ๐ผ If the BoJ chief sends a hawkish message indicating more rate hikes, that would impact the market since the market will fear further unwinding of the yen carry trade, triggering more FII outflows from markets like India. ๐ผ Therefore, watch out for the BoJ commentary. ๐ผ Meanwhile, cooling inflation in the US (November core inflation has come at 2.6%, lower than the estimate of 3%) is imparting resilience to the US economy and markets. ๐ผ This augurs well for global equity markets as 2025 draws to a close. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
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๐ผ The trend of weakening AI trade is gathering pace in the U.S. market. ๐ผ This trend is likely to continue in early 2026, and this will favour non-AI markets like India. ๐ผ An interesting takeaway from yesterdayโs trade is that despite FII buying and net institutional buying the market drifted down. ๐ผ The reason might be the FIIs increasing their short positions in the market. ๐ผ This means, in the near-term, FIIs will resort to a sell on rally strategy. ๐ผ A concern in the market now is whether the Japanese central bank will raise the rates today with a hawkish message. ๐ผ If that happens, that might trigger a reversal of the โyen carry tradeโ leading to further selling by FIIs. ๐ผ What investors should do now is to accumulate high quality fairly-valued stocks on market weakness. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
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๐ผ Recent sharp fall in the rupee and crude has been attracting the attention of investors. ๐ผ Decline in crude, on poor demand from China and the US, is good news for Indiaโs macros, which are already in a Goldilocks setting. ๐ผ However, sustained fall in the rupee is accelerating FII outflows, thereby hurting the market. ๐ผ This kind of sharp depreciation in the rupee was not expected particularly after the November trade data showed sharp decline in trade deficit at $24.5 billion vs 41.5 billion in October. ๐ผ One possible way of reason for the RBIโs non-intervention in the currency market to stem the rupee slide is that the rupee depreciation is not hurting the economy. ๐ผ With very low CPI inflation of 0.71% in November, there is no threat of imported inflation. ๐ผ On the other hand, rupee depreciation is a boost for Indiaโs exports which were impacted by the Trump tariffs. ๐ผ With the ongoing weakening of the AI trade, FIIs are likely to turn buyers in India sometime in 2026. ๐ผ If, along with this, a US-India trade deal happens, FIIs will turn buyers in India. ๐ผ There is a likelihood of rupee strengthening in H1 2026. ๐ผ Therefore, while FII selling is depressing stock prices now, investors should buy in anticipation of a 2026 rally. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets