Geojit Financial Services Ltd

💼 The announcement of unilateral tariffs on 14 countries, with India notably excluded, and President Trump’s remark that “we are close to a deal with India” strongly suggest an India-US trade agreement is on the horizon. This positive development has already been partially factored in by the market; however, investor attention will now shift to the finer details — particularly around potential sectoral tariffs, such as those on pharmaceuticals. 💼 The Nifty is expected to remain resilient within the 25200–25500 range in the near term. 💼 In the coming days, market movements are likely to be stock-specific, driven by individual Q1 earnings performances. 💼 Investors can stay optimistic, monitoring results to identify outperformers. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Concerns surrounding a US-India trade deal and the fallout of SEBI’s report on Jane Street will likely influence market sentiment today. However, there are encouraging reports of a possible interim trade deal between the US and India ahead of the July 9th tariff deadline — a development that would be a clear positive. 💼 The regulatory action involving Jane Street will be closely monitored by investors, especially for its impact on derivatives volume and related stocks like exchanges and brokerages. That said, these are short-term issues and are unlikely to have any lasting effect on the broader market. 💼 Long-term investors can use any dips as an opportunity to accumulate quality, fairly valued largecap stocks. 💼 Expectations from Q1 results are modest, so the spotlight will be on companies that outperform. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 There are no immediate triggers to break the 25200-25800 Nifty range, but the market remains impressively resilient. This resilience is externally supported by the strength of the US markets, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to set record highs. 💼 Domestically, strong and sustained fund flows have empowered DIIs to remain consistent buyers, adding further strength to the market. 💼 While the upside may be capped by tepid earnings and modest FY26 growth expectations, investor focus should shift to early signs of earnings trajectory changes. These signals will start to emerge with the upcoming Q1 results season. 💼 Outperformance is expected to be stock-specific rather than sector-wide. For example, while the auto sector may report modest results, companies like TVS, Eicher, and M&M may stand out. 💼 In the financial space, stocks like Bajaj Finance and Shriram Finance have the potential to outperform. This sets the stage for a stock-picker's market in the near term. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Nifty is likely to trade in the 25200-25800 range for some more time until a positive trigger breaks the range. 💼 A key trigger could emerge from the anticipated India-US trade deal, which may be announced in the coming days. 💼 The recent US-Vietnam trade deal highlights the US administration's intent to finalise multiple trade agreements quickly, especially with deals with the EU and Japan facing delays. 💼 Some US data points indicate softening in the jobs market, which could lead to increased capital outflows from the US and further weakening of the dollar—already down more than 10% this year. This trend is favourable for emerging markets like India, enhancing their appeal to global investors. However, the challenge for India remains the subdued earnings growth and only modest expectations for FY26. 💼 Despite strong macros, high valuations and weak micros may limit the market’s ability to break out above the upper end of the range. Still, any positive developments on the trade front or signs of earnings recovery can tilt the momentum in favour of the bulls. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 After breaking the 24500-25000 range, Nifty has confidently moved to the new range of 25200-25800, indicating strong momentum. 💼 Positive news regarding a potential India-US trade deal could be the trigger for Nifty to break above the upper end of this range. However, sustaining Nifty at higher levels might be challenging without clear signs of a strong rebound in earnings. 💼 June GST collections data reflects stable but modest growth, and auto sales numbers suggest a phase of consolidation in demand. This indicates that while the market has strength, further upward momentum will require fresh fundamental triggers. 💼 A key positive surprise is the resilience of the US economy and corporate earnings, which continues to support global market sentiment. 💼 Despite tariff challenges, the US market remains buoyant, providing a supportive backdrop for emerging markets like India. However, Fed Chief Jerome Powell’s statement ruling out an immediate rate cut might slightly temper the enthusiasm of market bulls. 💼 Overall, the market remains resilient, and any positive developments—particularly on the trade front—can drive the next leg of the rally. . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 With the mother market US setting new record highs, the global equity market mood remains highly positive. 💼 West Asian geopolitics is no longer seen as a threat to the global economy or markets, boosting overall sentiment. 💼 The strong macros of the Indian economy are attracting increasing fund flows into Indian equities, reinforcing market resilience. 💼 The sustained weakness in the dollar (Dollar Index now at 96.81) significantly reduces the likelihood of heavy FII selling and may even encourage further FII buying despite high valuations. 💼 Looking ahead, the market’s direction will largely be shaped by developments on the tariff front, with a potential India-US trade deal acting as a strong positive catalyst. 💼 If the trade deal materializes, it will fuel further upside, but disappointment on this front could temporarily weigh on sentiment. 💼 The key concern remains the weak earnings growth, with no clear signs yet of a strong recovery. 💼 Auto stocks will be in focus today as they react to the latest auto sales numbers, which could provide sector-specific triggers. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting new record highs and most other global markets in bullish mode, the overall market construct remains positive. 💼 The decline in geopolitical tensions in West Asia, along with the sharp pullback of Brent crude to $67, has created a favourable backdrop for equities. Additionally, encouraging reports of progress on the trade front, including potential trade deals between the US and China, and with other major partners, are further boosting sentiment. 💼 In India, largecaps like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance Industries, and L&T have been the key drivers of the rally, thanks to strong institutional accumulation. 💼 The persistent weakness in the dollar index continues to favour FII inflows, while robust retail participation is powering consistent flows into domestic funds. It is wise to remain invested in this strong bull market, but caution is advised when making fresh investments at current elevated valuations. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 A significant feature of the ongoing bull market, which began after the Covid crash (Nifty 7511 on March 23, 2020), is its remarkable ability to climb all walls of worries. 💼 High inflation, aggressive monetary tightening, multiple geopolitical conflicts, and even unprecedented tariff threats have posed challenges, but the bull market has powered through them all. It now appears that the rally is unlikely to be impacted by the approaching July 9th tariff deadline imposed by President Trump. 💼 Encouraging news that this deadline is likely to be extended is a clear positive for the market. 💼 Another significant positive is the sustained weakness in the dollar, with the dollar index falling to around 97, boosting sentiment for emerging markets like India. This explains the massive FII inflow of ₹12,594 crores yesterday, which is a huge number even after adjusting for bulk deals. This robust FII buying has lifted largecaps like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Bharti Airtel, Reliance Industries, and Bajaj Finance, driving the sharp rally in benchmark indices. 💼 The market momentum remains strong, and while some profit booking may happen in the near term, the broader trend remains resilient and bullish. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 With the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, global markets have shifted to a risk-on mode, reflecting improving sentiment. However, since the reciprocal tariff issue is still unresolved, a sustained rally may face some hurdles. 💼 The near-term market focus will revolve around developments leading to July 9th, when the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs ends. 💼 Positive news on a potential India-US trade deal would act as a powerful catalyst for the Indian markets. 💼 On the flip side, any disappointment on this front may temporarily limit the rally, keeping the market range-bound. 💼 FIIs may look to book profits, considering that Indian valuations are stretched at over 22x FY26 earnings, compared to the more attractive 15x for Chinese stocks (Hang Seng). This valuation gap may briefly revive the ‘Sell India, Buy China’ strategy among some FIIs. 💼 However, strong DII liquidity, driven by robust SIP and retail inflows, will absorb any FII selling pressure with ease. This strong domestic demand for equities will continue to impart stability and resilience to the market, keeping it well-supported on dips. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets