Geojit Financial Services Ltd

💼 The market is currently in a phase of calm consolidation, awaiting clear directional cues. While FIIs have turned net sellers in July after consistent buying in the previous three months, the broader market continues to remain resilient thanks to steady domestic flows. 💼 Interestingly, FII short positions in the derivatives market suggest that any positive surprise can trigger strong short covering-led rallies. 💼 A key macro positive is the sharp decline in CPI inflation to 2.10% in June — much lower than RBI’s projection of 3.7% for FY26 — raising hopes of further rate cuts. This creates a supportive environment for rate-sensitive sectors, though a revival in credit growth from the current 9% levels will be closely watched. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Nifty is showing a soft trend currently, primarily due to weakness in IT stocks, but this presents selective buying opportunities. Despite the broader market weakness, banking and financial stocks are standing out with relative strength and resilience. 💼 The market seems to have already priced in the expected NIM compression for banks in Q1, making dips in this segment attractive for long-term investors. 💼 A potential US–India trade deal with an anticipated tariff rate of around 20% could act as a strong sentimental trigger for the market. 💼 A positive outcome on the trade front may spark renewed buying, while any short-term disappointment can be used as a chance to accumulate quality names at better valuations. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 A notable highlight of H1 2025 has been the strong outperformance of largecaps, with the Nifty 50 delivering a solid 7.9% return. This contrasts with modest returns from the broader market — 0.3% from the Nifty Smallcap 250 and 4.0% from the Nifty Midcap 150 — indicating a healthy valuation reset. 💼 India’s temporary underperformance compared to markets like South Korea, Germany, Japan, and MSCI EM can be attributed to elevated valuations, which are now normalizing. 💼 Q1 results from TCS reflect the ongoing challenges in largecap IT, but the midcap IT space is expected to continue showing resilience and growth. 💼 Strong performance in Q1 is anticipated from sectors like telecom, oil & gas, and select auto segments, which are well-positioned to lead near-term gains. 💼 Investors would do well to focus on fairly valued largecaps with clear earnings visibility to navigate the current phase with confidence. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The market continues to exhibit impressive resilience, maintaining a steady range for over a month now. 💼 Global market strength and sustained fund flows into Indian equities are lending strong support near the lower end of the Nifty’s range. 💼 A breakout above the 25500 level on the Nifty remains possible, especially if news of a US-India trade deal materializes. While some of this optimism is already priced in, any confirmation could still spark near-term momentum. 💼 With the Q1 earnings season beginning today, investors can look forward to exciting stock-specific movements. 💼 Expectations from the IT sector are muted, but midcap IT firms are likely to shine with healthy results and encouraging outlooks. 💼 In the banking space, names that report strong credit growth despite a generally soft lending environment will stand out. 💼 Among auto stocks, M&M and Eicher are well-positioned to potentially outperform in this earnings cycle. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 A significant takeaway from recent global market trends is the remarkable composure of investors in the face of tariff-related noise. 💼 President Trump’s bold declarations—ranging from 50% tariffs on copper imports to potential 200% tariffs on pharmaceutical imports—are not being taken too seriously by the markets, given his history of backtracking. 💼 Markets are choosing patience and prudence, waiting for clarity to emerge on the trade front rather than reacting to speculative headlines. 💼 Given this approach, the Nifty is expected to remain range-bound in the near-term. More importantly, the spotlight now shifts to Q1 earnings, where midcaps are likely to continue their strong momentum from Q4 FY25. 💼 Largecaps are expected to gradually pick up pace, though no major surprises are anticipated just yet. 💼 Banking sector performance is expected to improve more meaningfully in H2 FY26. 💼 Cement stocks are showing early signs of recovery, hinting at a potential turnaround. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The announcement of unilateral tariffs on 14 countries, with India notably excluded, and President Trump’s remark that “we are close to a deal with India” strongly suggest an India-US trade agreement is on the horizon. This positive development has already been partially factored in by the market; however, investor attention will now shift to the finer details — particularly around potential sectoral tariffs, such as those on pharmaceuticals. 💼 The Nifty is expected to remain resilient within the 25200–25500 range in the near term. 💼 In the coming days, market movements are likely to be stock-specific, driven by individual Q1 earnings performances. 💼 Investors can stay optimistic, monitoring results to identify outperformers. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Concerns surrounding a US-India trade deal and the fallout of SEBI’s report on Jane Street will likely influence market sentiment today. However, there are encouraging reports of a possible interim trade deal between the US and India ahead of the July 9th tariff deadline — a development that would be a clear positive. 💼 The regulatory action involving Jane Street will be closely monitored by investors, especially for its impact on derivatives volume and related stocks like exchanges and brokerages. That said, these are short-term issues and are unlikely to have any lasting effect on the broader market. 💼 Long-term investors can use any dips as an opportunity to accumulate quality, fairly valued largecap stocks. 💼 Expectations from Q1 results are modest, so the spotlight will be on companies that outperform. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 There are no immediate triggers to break the 25200-25800 Nifty range, but the market remains impressively resilient. This resilience is externally supported by the strength of the US markets, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue to set record highs. 💼 Domestically, strong and sustained fund flows have empowered DIIs to remain consistent buyers, adding further strength to the market. 💼 While the upside may be capped by tepid earnings and modest FY26 growth expectations, investor focus should shift to early signs of earnings trajectory changes. These signals will start to emerge with the upcoming Q1 results season. 💼 Outperformance is expected to be stock-specific rather than sector-wide. For example, while the auto sector may report modest results, companies like TVS, Eicher, and M&M may stand out. 💼 In the financial space, stocks like Bajaj Finance and Shriram Finance have the potential to outperform. This sets the stage for a stock-picker's market in the near term. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Nifty is likely to trade in the 25200-25800 range for some more time until a positive trigger breaks the range. 💼 A key trigger could emerge from the anticipated India-US trade deal, which may be announced in the coming days. 💼 The recent US-Vietnam trade deal highlights the US administration's intent to finalise multiple trade agreements quickly, especially with deals with the EU and Japan facing delays. 💼 Some US data points indicate softening in the jobs market, which could lead to increased capital outflows from the US and further weakening of the dollar—already down more than 10% this year. This trend is favourable for emerging markets like India, enhancing their appeal to global investors. However, the challenge for India remains the subdued earnings growth and only modest expectations for FY26. 💼 Despite strong macros, high valuations and weak micros may limit the market’s ability to break out above the upper end of the range. Still, any positive developments on the trade front or signs of earnings recovery can tilt the momentum in favour of the bulls. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets