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💼 The important takeaway from the new records set by Nifty and Sensex yesterday is that these are new records driven by a narrow rally in a limited number of performing largecaps. 💼 Despite the market at new highs, majority of retail investors, particularly the newbies who rushed into the market after the Covid crash in March 2020, are holding portfolios which show losses. 💼 This paradox is due to the retail investors’ obsession with smallcaps and their belief that smallcaps will outperform irrespective of their valuation. 💼 If retail investors have to participate in the rally expected in 2026, to be driven primarily by higher earnings growth, they will have to invest in largecaps and quality midcaps with growth potential. 💼 Even though Sensex and Nifty touched new highs yesterday, the Nifty Smallcap Index is around 9% below its peak. 💼 This huge underperformance is primarily due to the poor earnings growth and high valuations of this segment. 💼 Smallcaps, in general, are likely to continue underperforming, in the short- to medium-term. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 With the 320 point rally in the Nifty yesterday, the market construct has changed to a bullish mode. 💼 New all-time highs for Nifty and Sensex are only a question of time. 💼 The technical construct of the market with high FII short position also is favourable for rally. 💼 Importantly, the rally has fundamental support from potential earnings growth expected in Q3 and Q4 of FY 26. 💼 The consumption boom witnessed in October will translate into impressive earnings growth. 💼 If the trend sustains, even with slight moderation after the festival season, earnings growth, going forward, will be good warranting a rally in the market. 💼 But there is no room for a sharp sustaining uptrend since valuations do not support that. 💼 Fundamentally Bank Nifty has the strength to support a rally to a new record high. 💼 Expectation of a rate cut by the Fed and a possible Russia-Ukraine peace accord have improved sentiments for equity markets globally. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Sometimes the market drifts without any apparent logic and reason. 💼 The very short-term movement can be against emerging fundamentals. 💼 The explanation for this indecisive movement can be found in technicals and market positioning related to futures expiry date. 💼 Often, on the expiry date the market witnesses high volatility in response to the speculative activity related to covering the short and long positions. 💼 Yesterday’s 74 point fall in Nifty despite the positive institutional buy figure of Rs 4697 crores is a case of such expiry-related volatility. 💼 The relevant question is: what should investors do during such indecisive movements in the market. 💼 The best strategy for retail investors is to refrain from trading and slowly accumulate fairly-valued high quality growth stocks which will be available at attractive valuations due to heightened volatility. 💼 Such stocks will bounce back soon. 💼 Investors’ psychological behaviour is more important in such contexts. 💼 Fundamentals indicate that the market is moving to a new high: It’s only a question of time. 💼 Investors’ response should be based on this understanding. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Nifty’s attempt to break the 2024 September high and set new record is facing resistance particularly from resumption of big FII selling which touched Rs 4171 crores in the cash market yesterday. 💼 The global clues are mixed today: the rally in the U.S. markets and expectations of a 25 bp rate cut from the Fed are positive for global equity markets. 💼 But the sharp 2.69% rally in Nasdaq and the big rebound in Mag 7 stocks will again trigger fears of an AI bubble. 💼 India will benefit on a sustained basis only when the AI trade weakens and money starts flowing into EMs like India and into non-AI stocks. 💼 An important takeaway from Q2 results is that midcaps are outperforming largecaps in revenue and profit growth. 💼 This explains the resilience of the midcap index which set a new record recently. 💼 The picture may again favour largecaps when the Q3 numbers indicate revival of earnings growth in largecaps. 💼 In largecaps, top names in telecom, automobiles, private and PSU banks, NBFCs and capital goods will remain resilient with potential to rally. 💼 Smallcaps, in general, will be weighed down by elevated valuations. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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