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💼 Previous attempts by the Nifty and Sensex to break the 2024 September high didn’t succeed since the rally lost steam on FII selling, and the expected US-India trade deal didn’t materialise. 💼 Also there was no clarity on the earnings growth for FY27. 💼 Now things are slowly changing in favour of a rally towards a new record high. 💼 The most important catalyst for the rally will come from strong earnings growth. 💼 FY27 is likely to witness above 15% earnings growth. 💼 This is a strong fundamental support. 💼 A US-India trade deal may happen at any time. 💼 Weakness in the AI trade will nudge FIIs to turn buyers in India. 💼 Investors should focus on largecaps and quality midcaps with high growth potential. 💼 Smallcaps, in general, continue to be over valued. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Market volatility has spiked sharply, with Nasdaq— the barometer of the AI trade closing 2.15% lower, falling 4.4% from the intraday peak. Such sharp movements signal that more volatility is likely in the coming days. 💼 While experts express valuation concerns and warn of a possible AI bubble burst, Nvidia’s CEO disagrees, saying they see “a sustainable rise of advanced AI systems.” 💼 At lower valuations, fresh buying interest may re-emerge in AI stocks. 💼 We must wait and watch how this volatile phase plays out. 💼 In India, there is excessive speculative trading, especially in newly listed stocks. 💼 Retail investors should avoid speculative trades, as they often end badly for most participants. 💼 The ideal strategy now is to buy high-quality, fairly valued stocks on declines and remain patient. 💼 Since India has been an underperformer in this year’s AI trade, it may benefit if the AI trade cools, with capital shifting to non-AI markets like India. However, a major global crash would affect all markets, including India. Therefore, investors should wait and watch how global market developments unfold.

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💼 The bullish trend in the market is likely to sustain aided by positive triggers. 💼 At the fundamental level the picture of ‘strong macros but weak micros’ at the beginning of the year is changing to ‘strong macros and improving micros’. 💼 This fundamental support is aided by the change in perception towards India by leading global banks who now consider India fairly valued and buyable in the context of a resilient economy and improving corporate earnings. 💼 The weakening AI trade is another positive for India which can be regarded as an anti-AI trade. 💼 FIIs turning buyers in the cash market yesterday is a reflection of this changing perception towards India. 💼 In the market, this is likely to manifest in preference for and outperformance of largecaps, particularly over small caps whose valuations are hard to justify even after the correction. 💼 Bank Nifty, despite the recent run up, has more room to rally since fundamentals and valuations are supportive. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 An anti-AI trade is playing out in global markets now. 💼 Respected experts like Google CEO Sundar Pichai are voicing concerns about the irrationality in AI trade. 💼 Nasdaq is down 1526 points from the recent peak. 💼 Even though there are optimists who still bet on AI trade, there are concerns of a bubble formation in AI stocks. 💼 The steady decline in AI stocks, without a major crash, is good for India. 💼 FPIs are likely to start buying in India if the present trend of AI trade fading sustains for some more time. 💼 India’s outperformance vis-a-vis other AI markets like South Korea and Taiwan during the last few days is an indication of this trend. 💼 Investors should prioritise safety at this juncture. 💼 Safety is in large caps. 💼 Large segments of the mid and small cap space are overvalued having been driven up only by liquidity flows from exuberant investors. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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