💼 RBI’s latest projection of 6.8% GDP growth in Q3 FY25, based on trends in high-frequency data, is positive news.
💼 However, the downward revision of FY25 GDP growth to 6.4% from the initial projection of 7.2% reflects a poor assessment of the economy by the central bank.
💼 Realistically, this has to be followed up by a rate cut by the MPC in February.
💼 The economy also needs fiscal stimulus now to achieve a growth rate of 6.6% in FY26.
💼 Going forward, the market will be expecting both fiscal and monetary stimulus.
💼 These expectations can keep the market in a consolidation phase in the near term.
💼 The market reaction after the Budget and monetary policy will depend on the policy initiatives.
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Posted on : 26 Dec 2024 10:36 AM