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💼The year-end rally which took the Nifty up by around 14 % from the 2023 October lows, is slowly running out of steam. 💼The major challenge for the rally comes from the mother market US which is showing signs of weakness. 💼The concern in the US now is that the market expectation of a rate cut in March may not materialise since the labour market continues to be tight and the unemployment data is lower than expected. 💼Inflation coming under control means that the rate hiking cycle is over and the Fed pivot is imminent. 💼But the market will be disappointed if the rate cut doesn’t happen in March. 💼The sign of this possible trend can be seen in the firming up of the 10-year US bond yield above 4%. 💼The exuberance of retail investors may be a positive factor which might push up the already frothy broader market. 💼But profit booking by DIIs and seasonally weak January can impact the rally. 💼Long-term investors can use dips in the market to buy high quality banking stocks which are fairly priced. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

An Open Ended Scheme investing in Equity, Debt & Money Market Instruments and Gold ETFs This fund is open for subscription from 5th January to 19th January 2024. To know more about NFO: http://geoj.it/XTKByfApply for this NFO through the FundsGenie platform - https://fundsgenie.in/#/homepageDisclaimer: Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all Scheme related documents carefully. This post is not a Recommendation to buy or sell the funds or stocks mentioned herein. This post and it’s contents should be read along with the adjoining and /or related documents, if any. This is purely for information purpose. Investors are requested to consult with their Financial Advisors before making any investment decisions. #nfo #newfundoffer #equity #mutualfund #geojit #investment #stockmarket #trading #investing #equityscheme #stock #SundaramMultiAssetAllocationFund #nfo #newfundoffer #equity #mutualfund #geojit #investment #stockmarket #trading #investing #equityscheme #stock #SundaramMultiAssetAllocationFund

💼An important feature of the ongoing rally in the market is that retail investors, not institutions, are calling the shots. 💼This retail exuberance is getting reflected in the records being set by the Mid and Smallcap indices even at frothy valuations in these segments. 💼The excessive valuations of the broader market cannot continue for long. 💼Big corrections are likely in the broader market; the only question is when. 💼The risk to the global rally can come from the Fed which may turn out to be less dovish than the market expectation. 💼Latest data from the US indicate an economy which is not weakening as much as the Fed would like. So watch out for the Fedspeak. 💼The Q3 results will impact stock prices. IT stocks have corrected anticipating poor numbers. 💼The result to watch would be that of HDFC Bank which has the potential to move the Bank index. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

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💼A predictable market trend is that high valuations will lead to corrections. 💼The unpredictable part is the timing and the trigger for the correction. 💼In the last few days, globally markets are correcting and the trigger for the correction is profit booking, which is normal and rational. 💼Markets have a tendency to overreact. Perhaps the sharp rise in the US market in response to the Fed pivot was a bit overdone. 💼The marginal rise in the US bond yield is a reflection of the market concern regarding the timing of the expected Fed rate cut. 💼A good strategy now would be to move some money from the overpriced mid and small caps to the fairly- priced high quality large caps like the leading banking names. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

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💼Market has turned highly volatile with profit booking triggered by high valuations. 💼Even DIIs who have been consistent buyers are booking profits. Buying on dips also is happening simultaneously. 💼This twin moves of profit booking and dip buying will keep the market highly volatile in the near-term. 💼An important trend in the market is the renewed buying in pharmaceuticals. 💼Further buying can be expected in this segment. 💼The Supreme Court judgement on the Adani- Hindenberg issue expected this morning will have a sentimental impact on the Adani stocks in particular and the overall market in general. 💼Long-term investors can buy the fairly-valued largecap private banking stocks which have the potential to outperform the Nifty this year. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼The 1000 point rally in the Nifty in the last one month has imparted momentum to the market. 💼Retail investors encouraged by the excellent returns of 2023 have turned exuberant and are chasing stocks, unmindful of the high valuations, particularly in the mid and small cap segments. 💼Investors should not fall into the trap of ‘recency bias’ and chase low grade stocks in the broader market. 💼Declining dollar and US bond yields provide a favourable global context for equities. 💼FII inflows in 2024 are likely to be huge and has the potential to lift high quality large-caps, particularly in segments like banking where valuations are fair. 💼An important trend to watch is the spike the volatility index VIX to 14.5 which indicates that high volatility is round the corner. 💼Yesterday’s sell off in the last 30 minutes is a warning that at higher levels there can be bouts of big selling. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate