💼 The 24,500–25,000 range for the Nifty is likely to hold steady unless we see a major shift in news from the Israel-Iran conflict.
💼 Any signs of de-escalation can lead to a breakout above the 25,000 mark, signaling renewed strength.
💼 On the flip side, an escalation involving the Strait of Hormuz that causes a spike in crude could challenge the 24,500 support level.
💼 Investors should keep an eye on developments in West Asia, as they will guide the next move.
💼 The Fed’s decision and commentary came on expected lines, with Jerome Powell noting that the US economy remains “in a solid position” despite uncertainties.
💼 His caution that “tariff effects on inflation can be persistent” suggests that immediate rate cuts may not be on the table.
💼 The Fed’s dot plot still shows two rate cuts in 2025, which keeps the longer-term outlook constructive.
💼 With the US economy expected to grow just 1.4% this year, capital flows may tilt in favour of EMs like India.
💼 However, for a sustained rally, the Indian market needs more clarity on earnings growth.
💼 Until then, valuations will limit upside, but the medium-term structure remains supportive for investors staying selectively invested.
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Posted on : 19 Jun 2025 10:19 AM