💼 Even though the US bombing of Iran’s three nuclear facilities has worsened the crisis in West Asia, the impact on the market is likely to be limited.
💼 The uncertain factor now is the timing and nature of the Iranian response.
💼 If Iran targets and damages the US defence facilities in the region or hurts US military personnel seriously, the US response can be huge and this might further worsen the crisis.
💼 But the market assessment is that there are limits to what Iran can do against the US and Israel.
💼 That’s why the early market responses – crude prices, US futures, and the absence of panic in Asian markets – have been muted.
💼 Even though the possibility of the closure of Hormuz Strait is a threat, it is important to understand that this has always been only a threat and the Strait had never been closed.
💼 The fact is that the closure of Hormuz Strait will harm Iran and Iran’s friend China more than anyone else.
💼 The market construct continues to favour a ‘buy on dips’ strategy.
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Posted on : 23 Jun 2025 10:22 AM