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💼 Even though the US bombing of Iran’s three nuclear facilities has worsened the crisis in West Asia, the impact on the market is likely to be limited. 💼 The uncertain factor now is the timing and nature of the Iranian response. 💼 If Iran targets and damages the US defence facilities in the region or hurts US military personnel seriously, the US response can be huge and this might further worsen the crisis. 💼 But the market assessment is that there are limits to what Iran can do against the US and Israel. 💼 That’s why the early market responses – crude prices, US futures, and the absence of panic in Asian markets – have been muted. 💼 Even though the possibility of the closure of Hormuz Strait is a threat, it is important to understand that this has always been only a threat and the Strait had never been closed. 💼 The fact is that the closure of Hormuz Strait will harm Iran and Iran’s friend China more than anyone else. 💼 The market construct continues to favour a ‘buy on dips’ strategy. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Nifty, which has been trading within the 24,500–25,000 range for about a month, is likely to remain within this range in the near term. 💼 A breakout above 25,000 is possible if positive news emerges, such as a de-escalation or abrupt end to the Israel-Iran conflict. 💼 The downside is well protected, with strong buying interest from domestic institutions likely to emerge on dips. However, if the conflict lingers and crude rises above $85, there is a chance the lower band of 24,500 could be tested. 💼 A key trend observed in the last trading session was the weakness in the broader market, particularly in SMIDs (Small and Midcaps), with the smallcap index falling 2%. This indicates a shift in sentiment due to valuation concerns and global risk-off mood. 💼 The ongoing correction in SMIDs may continue, driven by their stretched valuations and rising volatility. This phase could see a healthy rotation of funds into fairly valued, fundamentally strong largecaps, especially in financials, industrials, autos, and real estate. 💼 Investors can adopt a selective and cautious approach, focusing on quality and stability while using dips as opportunities in largecap space. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 The 24,500–25,000 range for the Nifty is likely to hold steady unless we see a major shift in news from the Israel-Iran conflict. 💼 Any signs of de-escalation can lead to a breakout above the 25,000 mark, signaling renewed strength. 💼 On the flip side, an escalation involving the Strait of Hormuz that causes a spike in crude could challenge the 24,500 support level. 💼 Investors should keep an eye on developments in West Asia, as they will guide the next move. 💼 The Fed’s decision and commentary came on expected lines, with Jerome Powell noting that the US economy remains “in a solid position” despite uncertainties. 💼 His caution that “tariff effects on inflation can be persistent” suggests that immediate rate cuts may not be on the table. 💼 The Fed’s dot plot still shows two rate cuts in 2025, which keeps the longer-term outlook constructive. 💼 With the US economy expected to grow just 1.4% this year, capital flows may tilt in favour of EMs like India. 💼 However, for a sustained rally, the Indian market needs more clarity on earnings growth. 💼 Until then, valuations will limit upside, but the medium-term structure remains supportive for investors staying selectively invested. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The latest tweet by President Trump and US defence movements in West Asia indicate a further escalation in the conflict. However, there is no panic in global equity markets, suggesting that investors believe this tension may ease without major economic fallout. 💼 It’s important to remember that since the Covid crash of March 2020 — when Nifty plunged to 7511 — the market has been in a strong bull run, climbing every wall of worry. 💼 This time too, the market appears poised to absorb the Israel-Iran conflict with resilience. Despite rich valuations, especially in the broader market, ample liquidity and optimism over an earnings turnaround continue to provide solid support. 💼 The Nifty’s 24,500–25,000 range is expected to hold in the near-term. 💼 A breakout above 25,000 is likely once positive developments emerge from the West Asian front. 💼 The “buy on dips” strategy remains effective, backed by steady domestic flows and market sentiment. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Despite the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, global stock markets remain steady and resilient. 💼 The decline in the US volatility index (CBOE VIX) indicates that markets are unlikely to correct sharply unless the conflict worsens dramatically. 💼 A key driver of this resilience is the retail investors' confidence, who continue to buy every dip with conviction. 💼 Valuation concerns have not deterred retail investors, showcasing their growing maturity and long-term outlook. 💼 In the past 4 trading days since the conflict began, FIIs sold stocks worth ₹8,080 crores. However, this selling has been more than offset by robust DII buying of ₹19,800 crores — a clear vote of confidence in Indian equities. 💼 Consistent retail SIP flows are empowering DIIs to stay active and supportive in the market. 💼 Technically, the Nifty has strong support at 24,500 and is likely to face resistance at 25,000. Even while maintaining a bit of caution, staying invested and buying quality stocks on dips remains the ideal strategy in this market. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets