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💼The 1000 point rally in the Nifty in the last one month has imparted momentum to the market. 💼Retail investors encouraged by the excellent returns of 2023 have turned exuberant and are chasing stocks, unmindful of the high valuations, particularly in the mid and small cap segments. 💼Investors should not fall into the trap of ‘recency bias’ and chase low grade stocks in the broader market. 💼Declining dollar and US bond yields provide a favourable global context for equities. 💼FII inflows in 2024 are likely to be huge and has the potential to lift high quality large-caps, particularly in segments like banking where valuations are fair. 💼An important trend to watch is the spike the volatility index VIX to 14.5 which indicates that high volatility is round the corner. 💼Yesterday’s sell off in the last 30 minutes is a warning that at higher levels there can be bouts of big selling. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼As the New Year begins it is a Goldilocks scenario for the economy and markets. 💼The growth momentum in the economy is strong. 7% GDP growth in FY 24 is likely to be followed by around 6.7% growth in FY25 with decent corporate earnings growth. 💼The banking system is in the pink of health and all macroeconomic indicators are stable. 💼Political stability after the General elections looks almost certain. 💼From the global perspective, the US economy appears to be heading for soft landing. 💼The US 10-year bond yield at 3.87 % and the dollar index at 100.6 are tailwinds for the market. 💼FPI inflows in 2024 are likely to be robust. 💼The concern, however, is that most of these good news is in the price; valuations are a bit stretched and above the long-term averages. 💼So, the market is vulnerable to corrections from presently unknown risks. 💼The broader market is overvalued; safety is in large-caps. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #marketupdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #marketupdate

💼As 2023 draws to a close, the most significant feature of the year’s rally is the sharp outperformance of the broader market. 💼The midcap index is up by almost 45 % and the small cap index is up by 55 % leaving the Niffy far behind with appreciation of around 20%. 💼This trend is likely to be reversed in 2024 since the mid and small caps are overvalued and large caps are relatively fairly valued. 💼Autos, construction and financials are set to do well in 2024. 💼Autos are in a cyclical rebound, financials are fairly valued even after the recent run up and the prospects for construction related segments continue to look good. 💼Capital goods will continue to do well in 2024 too. 💼January is normally a poor month for the market. 💼Q3 results and management commentary will be keenly watched by the market. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼The rally looks set to continue supported by the leading banks which are witnessing institutional accumulation. 💼Strong cues from the mother market US, steadily declining US bond yields and the dollar index below 101 augur well for the continuation of the rally. 💼It is important to note that high quality large caps have taken the leadership in this rally which has taken the Sensex above 72k. 💼A significant market indicator is the volatility index VIX rising above 15. 💼Investors should take this as an indication of high volatility ahead. 💼Remaining invested is important in a bull market. But chasing the market at high valuations would be highly risky. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼The resilience of the market even in the holiday season, which is normally devoid of much action, is an indication of its underlying bullishness. 💼The global support to the market from the mother market US where the S&P 500 is close to all-time high is significant. 💼There are areas of concern which investors have to be careful about. 💼Several IPOs getting heavily oversubscribed is an indication of exuberance. 💼There is frenzy in the mid and small cap segments where valuations are excessive. 💼The rally in the PSU space, in some segments like ship building, are being driven by hope based on order inflows. 💼The market is ignoring the execution challenges here. 💼Investors should give priority to high quality bluechips which are doing well and have good earnings visibility. 💼A correction is the broader market is inevitable. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼The global rally in December led by the mother market US has lifted most markets significantly and India was fortunate to have the lift from the state election results too. 💼The 6% rally in Nifty in December has heated up the market a bit and the bulls are likely to wait for the New Year for further action. 💼High valuations continue to be a short-term concern. 💼However, the global market construct continues to be favourable with the US inflation, bond yields and the dollar index trending down. 💼Buy on dips continue to be the best strategy in the present market context. Safety is in large-caps. 💼Automobile sector is well placed for a cyclical upswing. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

💼At high valuations the market is vulnerable to sharp corrections and this happened yesterday. 💼Two trends are important: one, the correction in mid and small caps is almost double the correction in large caps; two, DIIs turned big buyers towards the end of the trading day. 💼The vulnerability of the mid and small caps to correction remains since the valuations are excessive. 💼Large caps will witness buying on declines. 💼Investors can wait for the market to stabilise and buy high quality large cap stocks on declines. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate

Geojit's Chief Investment Strategist, Dr. V.K. Vijayakumar sheds light on the things investors should watch out for during the current bull run in the stock market. To know more about Global Investments - https://www.geojit.com/globalinvestmentsDisclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #StockMarketRisk #MidCapInvesting #SmallCapInvesting #StockMarketUpdate #BankNiftyGains #RupeeStrength #MarketLevels #StockMarketAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestmentStrategy #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #Geojit #GeojitFinance #FinancialWisdom #invest #sensex #trading #stocks #sectors #investing #economy #StockMarketRisk #MidCapInvesting #SmallCapInvesting #StockMarketUpdate #BankNiftyGains #RupeeStrength #MarketLevels #StockMarketAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestmentStrategy #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #Geojit #GeojitFinance #FinancialWisdom #invest #sensex #trading #stocks #sectors #investing #economy

💼Even as the holidays are fast approaching, the market is not in a holiday mood. It is consolidating, but at higher levels. 💼The steady rise in the mother market US, which has helped the Dow to set new record high, is exhibiting the same trend. 💼The fact that the fear gauge - VIX - is at low level of 12 is an indicator of the underlying strength of the market. 💼Valuations in the mid and small cap segments are excessive. Chasing mid and small caps at these valuations is risky. 💼Going forward, large-caps are likely to outperform. Even if they don’t, safety is in large caps. Investors should give importance to safety in this time of optimism. 💼Declining bond yields in US means FIIs will continue buying Indian stocks. 💼The New Year is likely to witness fresh bout of FII buying. 💼Large caps like RIL which have not participated much in the rally may see action. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate #StockMarket #inflation #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #MarketUpdate