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💼 As the nation pays homage to Manmohan Singh, the architect of liberalization in India, investors must be acknowledging with gratitude the wealth created by the Indian stock market after the initiation of liberalization in 1991. 💼 Sensex, which was around 1000 in 1991, has multiplied about 78 times since then to trade above 78,000 now, delivering excellent returns to long-term investors. 💼 The market will continue to deliver superior returns to investors in the years to come since the India Growth Story, which liberalization triggered, is very much intact. 💼 Meanwhile, short-term bumps on the economic growth path will cause corrections and market volatility, like what we are witnessing now. 💼 The strongest headwind for the market now is the FII selling triggered by a strong dollar (dollar index staying above 108) and attractive US bond yields, with the 10-year yielding 4.35%. 💼 A change in FII strategy from selling to buying will happen when macros indicate recovery in growth and corporate earnings. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 RBI’s latest projection of 6.8% GDP growth in Q3 FY25, based on trends in high-frequency data, is positive news. 💼 However, the downward revision of FY25 GDP growth to 6.4% from the initial projection of 7.2% reflects a poor assessment of the economy by the central bank. 💼 Realistically, this has to be followed up by a rate cut by the MPC in February. 💼 The economy also needs fiscal stimulus now to achieve a growth rate of 6.6% in FY26. 💼 Going forward, the market will be expecting both fiscal and monetary stimulus. 💼 These expectations can keep the market in a consolidation phase in the near term. 💼 The market reaction after the Budget and monetary policy will depend on the policy initiatives. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 The relief rally witnessed yesterday is unlikely to have a free run in the coming days. 💼 Two sets of factors—external and internal—will restrain a sustained rally. 💼 Externally, the strong dollar and high bond yields in the US will prompt the FIIs to sell on rallies. 💼 Internally, the growth and earnings slowdown will be near-term negatives that will restrain the bulls. 💼 The high valuations in the market, in this challenging macro backdrop, cannot favor a PE expansion that can take the market significantly higher. 💼 Investors should prioritize safety over returns in the current context. 💼 Fairly valued segments like large-cap financials, sectors like pharma and IT with stable demand, and fast-growing segments like digital stocks are likely to remain relatively resilient in a challenging environment. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets