Geojit Financial Services Ltd

💼 The latest tweet by President Trump and US defence movements in West Asia indicate a further escalation in the conflict. However, there is no panic in global equity markets, suggesting that investors believe this tension may ease without major economic fallout. 💼 It’s important to remember that since the Covid crash of March 2020 — when Nifty plunged to 7511 — the market has been in a strong bull run, climbing every wall of worry. 💼 This time too, the market appears poised to absorb the Israel-Iran conflict with resilience. Despite rich valuations, especially in the broader market, ample liquidity and optimism over an earnings turnaround continue to provide solid support. 💼 The Nifty’s 24,500–25,000 range is expected to hold in the near-term. 💼 A breakout above 25,000 is likely once positive developments emerge from the West Asian front. 💼 The “buy on dips” strategy remains effective, backed by steady domestic flows and market sentiment. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Despite the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, global stock markets remain steady and resilient. 💼 The decline in the US volatility index (CBOE VIX) indicates that markets are unlikely to correct sharply unless the conflict worsens dramatically. 💼 A key driver of this resilience is the retail investors' confidence, who continue to buy every dip with conviction. 💼 Valuation concerns have not deterred retail investors, showcasing their growing maturity and long-term outlook. 💼 In the past 4 trading days since the conflict began, FIIs sold stocks worth ₹8,080 crores. However, this selling has been more than offset by robust DII buying of ₹19,800 crores — a clear vote of confidence in Indian equities. 💼 Consistent retail SIP flows are empowering DIIs to stay active and supportive in the market. 💼 Technically, the Nifty has strong support at 24,500 and is likely to face resistance at 25,000. Even while maintaining a bit of caution, staying invested and buying quality stocks on dips remains the ideal strategy in this market. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The uncertainty stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict has introduced a brief risk-off sentiment in global markets. 💼 Gold is witnessing safe haven buying, while the dollar remains weak — a supportive mix for emerging market assets. 💼 Interestingly, there is no panic in equity markets, indicating underlying strength and resilience. 💼 Markets will face serious pressure only if Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz — a scenario that currently seems unlikely. 💼 Historically, such risk-off phases have proven to be valuable opportunities for long-term investors. 💼 Unlike earlier episodes, this time we haven’t seen aggressive equity selling — keeping valuations relatively stable. 💼 Sustained domestic retail buying and strong mutual fund inflows continue to anchor the market at higher levels. This unique setup makes it a good time for long-term investors to look at relatively reasonably valued sectors like financials. 💼 Selective stock picking with a focus on quality and growth remains the right strategy in this phase. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Sometimes, unsettling news arrives in waves, testing both emotions and markets. 💼 Following the Ahmedabad air tragedy, news of Israel’s strike on Iran has emerged. While the situation is tense, markets have shown resilience in the face of past geopolitical shocks. 💼 Israel has indicated that the operation may continue for several days, but such events often get absorbed by the market once the outlook becomes clearer. 💼 Brent crude prices have risen by about 12% to $78, and could rise further depending on Iran’s response. 💼 A temporary spike in oil may impact sectors like aviation, paints, adhesives, and tyres — but these sectors have historically bounced back once prices stabilize. On the other hand, oil producers like ONGC and Oil India stand to benefit from elevated crude prices. 💼 The market’s near-term response will depend on how the situation develops, but India’s strong macro fundamentals offer a layer of confidence. 💼 Investors are advised to stay calm and observe before making moves — sharp volatility often creates long-term opportunities. 💼 Nifty is expected to find strong support around the 24,500 level, acting as a cushion during uncertain times. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The recent flattish trend in the market is likely to continue in the near-term since there are no clear positive triggers that can push the market much higher. 💼 There are reports of a possible agreement between the U.S. and China. But the Chinese haven’t officially confirmed anything. 💼 President Trump is talking about 55% tariff on China and 10% tariff on U.S. 💼 President Trump’s credibility being what it is, it would be too early to discount this as positive for markets. Also President Trump has declared that he will be sending letters to trade partners in the next two weeks setting universal tariffs. 💼 Market participants will be waiting and watching for clarity on this. 💼 The tariff crisis is not yet over. 💼 The spike in Brent crude to $70 on heightened security risks in the Middle East is a negative for India. 💼 Sectors like paints, adhesives, tyres and aviation are likely to respond negatively to this while ONGC and Oil India can respond positively. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Market is likely to continue in the consolidation range with a slight upward bias. 💼 A clear breakout above Nifty 25100 level, and sustaining above this level, will need sustained large buying. This can happen on positive news regarding a US-China trade deal. 💼 Reports of both countries reaching an agreement to implement the Geneva consensus are positive. 💼 China is playing their ‘rare earth minerals card’ effectively. 💼 How this trade deal between the two global economic giants develops remains to be seen. 💼 In the near-term the market will respond to news regarding the trade negotiations. 💼 If there is a clear agreement the market will respond positively and there is a high probability of Nifty breaking above 25100 and remaining above this level. 💼 Liquidity will support a mild rally. But a strong rally needs earnings support. 💼 There are no indications yet about a strong recovery in earnings. This will cap any short-term rally in the market. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Nifty is likely to consolidate in the 24500 - 25500 range in the near-term. 💼 There are no short-term triggers to take the Nifty beyond the upper band. 💼 Some profit booking pulling the market slightly down is likely. But ample liquidity will ensure that dips will get bought helping the market to consolidate. 💼 From the global perspective, market participants will be keenly following the progress of trade talks between the U.S. and China. 💼 Even though there is optimism regarding a favourable outcome, it is unlikely to happen quickly. 💼 Since the market has run up in the last two trading days and valuations have got stretched, some profit booking can be considered to hedge against unexpected developments. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The monetary bazooka fired by the RBI on Friday will keep the market spirits alive in the near-term. But this is not sufficient to sustain the rally triggered on Friday. More important is the trend in earnings growth. 💼 Q4 results indicate better earnings growth for midcaps. But large and small caps continue to struggle. 💼 FY26 earnings are unlikely to reach mid-teens, which is necessary for the market to remain resilient and move up. 💼 Market needs signs of revenue and earnings acceleration to move up. In the absence of such indicators, the present Nifty range is likely to move up marginally to 24500 - 25500. 💼 Ample liquidity can support the downside but earnings concerns will cap the upside. 💼 Weak US and Chinese macro data is favourable for emerging markets like India. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 Uncertainty, which has been looming large on the global economic horizon, has spiked with the open spat between President Trump and Elon Musk. This unprecedented clash between two of the world’s most powerful and mercurial personalities will have its consequences on the policies of the US administration. 💼 Chinese restrictions on exports of rare earth minerals and magnets, in response to the reciprocal tariffs imposed by US, have already started impacting the EV automobile industry. 💼 Important US data like US ISM PMI and jobless claims indicate that the US economy is slowing down. 💼 US is likely to end 2025 with a GDP growth of mere 1%. 💼 US bond yields are likely to fall further which will be positive for EMs, particularly India, whose growth prospects are the brightest. 💼 In today’s monetary policy the RBI is likely to cut policy rates by 25 bp. This is already factored in by the market. 💼 More important will be the RBI commentary on growth and inflation projections for FY26. 💼 If the inflation forecast is cut from 4%, the market would respond positively. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets