💼 The prime mover of the ongoing rally in the Indian market is the sustained FII inflows of around 23800 crores so far this month.
💼 Of course, the decline in global trade tensions, the rally in global markets led by the US and the India-Pak ceasefire have created the setting for this rally.
💼 FII inflows can continue and the domestic mutual funds sitting on huge cash pile will be eager to buy any dip in the market. This will impart resilience to the market even when valuations are getting stretched.
💼 An apparently perplexing trend from the last trading day is that the market declined despite 14018 crores of institutional buying (FIIs plus DIIs). This indicates that FIIs are increasing their short positions in the derivatives market. So expect more volatility ahead.
💼 An important trend in the market is the sharp rally in defence stocks. Even though this segment has bright medium to long-term prospects, their valuations have become excessive and, therefore, investors have to be extremely cautious.
💼 Some profit booking in this segment would be appropriate.
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Posted on : 19 May 2025 10:15 AM