๐ผ Stable institutional flows โ both FII and DII โ are keeping the market steady even in the absence of positive triggers.
๐ผ The ongoing consolidation phase is likely to continue in the near-term.
๐ผ Investors should understand two distinct big trends that will weigh on markets: One, Indiaโs macros are strong and improving. Two, this positive trend in macros is not getting reflected in corporate earnings. This is the fundamental reason for the range-bound movement of the market.
๐ผ FY25 Nifty earnings growth was a pedestrian 5.5% and the projection for FY26 is around 10%.
๐ผ Valuation multiple of 21 for 10% earnings growth is certainly on the higher side. This will cap the upside to the Nifty until leading indicators suggest a recovery in earnings growth.
๐ผ At the same time, steadily improving macros like resilient GDP growth, down trending inflation and interest rates, and declining fiscal and current account deficits lay the foundation for a strong economy and earnings recovery in the medium term.
๐ผ Investors should remain invested and buy quality stocks on dips.
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Posted on : 30 May 2025 10:00 AM