Geojit Financial Services Ltd

💼 The recent Nifty range of 24000–25000 is likely to persist in the near-term. 💼 In the medium-term, a breakout above 25000 is a clear possibility rather than a breakdown below 24000. 💼 Unexpected developments, however, can alter the scenario. 💼 The strong fundamental factors that will support the market are India’s robust and improving macros and sustained flows into mutual funds, particularly the SIP inflows which are steady and growing. This reflects the coming of age of the Indian retail investor. 💼 An important takeaway from the Q4 results is the outperformance of the midcaps relative to largecaps and smallcaps. 💼 Since CPI inflation in India is benign, the rate cutting cycle has more room to go with minimum two more rate cuts in 2025. Even though this will put the margins of the banks under some pressure, the leading names in the sector, particularly the large private banks, are well placed to deliver 12 to 15% returns in one year. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 During a consolidation phase, where the market moves within a range, buy on dips is the ideal strategy. And this strategy is working well now. 💼 With a lot of uncertainty in geopolitics, tariffs and trade, the market will continue to remain volatile. Therefore, investors may persist with the strategy of buying on dips. 💼 The concern in the market now is the high valuation, particularly in the broader market. But the trends in money flows into the market and the healthy trend of retail investors persisting with their investment for longer periods indicate that Indian equities will remain at higher valuations for an extended period of time. 💼 Since the MPC is expected to cut policy rate by 25 bp in the policy meet on 8th, rate sensitives are likely to be favoured in the coming days. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

In this exclusive market update, Gaurang Shah, Head Investment Strategist at Geojit, shares his expert insights on the upcoming RBI monetary policy, the possibility of a 0.25%-0.50% rate cut, and its impact on the Indian economy and equity markets. Key Topics Covered: ✅Upcoming RBI MPC meeting decision and its possible impacts ✅OPEC's crude supply hike – a positive for India ✅Strengthening of the Indian Rupee ✅Post-consolidation market outlook ✅Sector-wise analysis: Auto, Real Estate & Hospitality ✅Top stock picks: DLF and Indian Hotels For more about Global Investments: https://www.geojitifsc.com/Disclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #gaurangshah #geojit #tradingtips #marketoutlook #marketanalysis #stockmarket #stockmarketindia #mondaymarket #indianeconomy #rbipolicy #interestratecut #rupeevsdollar #crudeoilprices #opecnews #marketupdate #autostocks #realestatestocks #hospitalitystocks #indianhotels #dlf #investmentstrategy #stockmarketnews #ratecutindia #rbiupdate #sensex #nifty50 #gaurangshah #geojit #tradingtips #marketoutlook #marketanalysis #stockmarket #stockmarketindia #mondaymarket #indianeconomy #rbipolicy #interestratecut #rupeevsdollar #crudeoilprices #opecnews #marketupdate #autostocks #realestatestocks #hospitalitystocks #indianhotels #dlf #investmentstrategy #stockmarketnews #ratecutindia #rbiupdate #sensex #nifty50

💼 The market structure favours continuation of the ongoing consolidation phase. 💼There are global headwinds like renewed tariff concerns that will restrain a breakout rally. At the same time, there are domestic tailwinds that will support the market at lower levels. 💼 President Trump’s 50% tariffs on steel and aluminium is a clear message that the tariff and trade scenario will continue to be uncertain and turbulent. This headwind will impact markets. 💼 On the domestic front, the tailwinds are getting stronger with the latest Q4 GDP growth data coming at 7.4%, which is much better-than-expected. 💼 Trends in consumption expenditure and capital expenditure are promising. This, along with low inflation and the expected continuation of the rate cutting policy, provides the perfect setting for sustained economic growth in FY26. 💼 The only challenge is the tepid earnings growth. 💼 If leading indicators suggest a recovery in earnings growth, there is a high probability of the market breaking out of the present range and moving higher. . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Stable institutional flows — both FII and DII — are keeping the market steady even in the absence of positive triggers. 💼 The ongoing consolidation phase is likely to continue in the near-term. 💼 Investors should understand two distinct big trends that will weigh on markets: One, India’s macros are strong and improving. Two, this positive trend in macros is not getting reflected in corporate earnings. This is the fundamental reason for the range-bound movement of the market. 💼 FY25 Nifty earnings growth was a pedestrian 5.5% and the projection for FY26 is around 10%. 💼 Valuation multiple of 21 for 10% earnings growth is certainly on the higher side. This will cap the upside to the Nifty until leading indicators suggest a recovery in earnings growth. 💼 At the same time, steadily improving macros like resilient GDP growth, down trending inflation and interest rates, and declining fiscal and current account deficits lay the foundation for a strong economy and earnings recovery in the medium term. 💼 Investors should remain invested and buy quality stocks on dips. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets