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πΌ Nifty, which has been trading within the 24,500β25,000 range for about a month, is likely to remain within this range in the near term. πΌ A breakout above 25,000 is possible if positive news emerges, such as a de-escalation or abrupt end to the Israel-Iran conflict. πΌ The downside is well protected, with strong buying interest from domestic institutions likely to emerge on dips. However, if the conflict lingers and crude rises above $85, there is a chance the lower band of 24,500 could be tested. πΌ A key trend observed in the last trading session was the weakness in the broader market, particularly in SMIDs (Small and Midcaps), with the smallcap index falling 2%. This indicates a shift in sentiment due to valuation concerns and global risk-off mood. πΌ The ongoing correction in SMIDs may continue, driven by their stretched valuations and rising volatility. This phase could see a healthy rotation of funds into fairly valued, fundamentally strong largecaps, especially in financials, industrials, autos, and real estate. πΌ Investors can adopt a selective and cautious approach, focusing on quality and stability while using dips as opportunities in largecap space. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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πΌ The 24,500β25,000 range for the Nifty is likely to hold steady unless we see a major shift in news from the Israel-Iran conflict. πΌ Any signs of de-escalation can lead to a breakout above the 25,000 mark, signaling renewed strength. πΌ On the flip side, an escalation involving the Strait of Hormuz that causes a spike in crude could challenge the 24,500 support level. πΌ Investors should keep an eye on developments in West Asia, as they will guide the next move. πΌ The Fedβs decision and commentary came on expected lines, with Jerome Powell noting that the US economy remains βin a solid positionβ despite uncertainties. πΌ His caution that βtariff effects on inflation can be persistentβ suggests that immediate rate cuts may not be on the table. πΌ The Fedβs dot plot still shows two rate cuts in 2025, which keeps the longer-term outlook constructive. πΌ With the US economy expected to grow just 1.4% this year, capital flows may tilt in favour of EMs like India. πΌ However, for a sustained rally, the Indian market needs more clarity on earnings growth. πΌ Until then, valuations will limit upside, but the medium-term structure remains supportive for investors staying selectively invested. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
πΌ The latest tweet by President Trump and US defence movements in West Asia indicate a further escalation in the conflict. However, there is no panic in global equity markets, suggesting that investors believe this tension may ease without major economic fallout. πΌ Itβs important to remember that since the Covid crash of March 2020 β when Nifty plunged to 7511 β the market has been in a strong bull run, climbing every wall of worry. πΌ This time too, the market appears poised to absorb the Israel-Iran conflict with resilience. Despite rich valuations, especially in the broader market, ample liquidity and optimism over an earnings turnaround continue to provide solid support. πΌ The Niftyβs 24,500β25,000 range is expected to hold in the near-term. πΌ A breakout above 25,000 is likely once positive developments emerge from the West Asian front. πΌ The βbuy on dipsβ strategy remains effective, backed by steady domestic flows and market sentiment. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
πΌ Despite the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, global stock markets remain steady and resilient. πΌ The decline in the US volatility index (CBOE VIX) indicates that markets are unlikely to correct sharply unless the conflict worsens dramatically. πΌ A key driver of this resilience is the retail investors' confidence, who continue to buy every dip with conviction. πΌ Valuation concerns have not deterred retail investors, showcasing their growing maturity and long-term outlook. πΌ In the past 4 trading days since the conflict began, FIIs sold stocks worth βΉ8,080 crores. However, this selling has been more than offset by robust DII buying of βΉ19,800 crores β a clear vote of confidence in Indian equities. πΌ Consistent retail SIP flows are empowering DIIs to stay active and supportive in the market. πΌ Technically, the Nifty has strong support at 24,500 and is likely to face resistance at 25,000. Even while maintaining a bit of caution, staying invested and buying quality stocks on dips remains the ideal strategy in this market. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets
Geojit's Head Investment Strategist, Gaurang Shah, shares his insights on the market impacts of the Israel-Iran conflict, weak rupee, and rising crude oil prices. He highlights key sectors to watch β Defence, Capital Goods, Housing Finance, Pharma & Auto β and gives two investment ideas. For more about Global Investments: https://www.geojitifsc.com/Disclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #geojit #gaurangshah #geojitspotlight #stockmarketupdates #tradingtips #marketoutlook #marketanalysis #stockmarket #stockmarketindia #mondaymarketoutlook #israeliranconflict #crudeoilprices #weakrupee #indianstockmarket #fiiselling #sectoraloutlook #mankindpharma #mandm #investmentideas #defencestocks #autosector #pharmastocks #realestateindia #capitalgoods #housingfinance #stockmarketnews #geojit #gaurangshah #geojitspotlight #stockmarketupdates #tradingtips #marketoutlook #marketanalysis #stockmarket #stockmarketindia #mondaymarketoutlook #israeliranconflict #crudeoilprices #weakrupee #indianstockmarket #fiiselling #sectoraloutlook #mankindpharma #mandm #investmentideas #defencestocks #autosector #pharmastocks #realestateindia #capitalgoods #housingfinance #stockmarketnews

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