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💼 The dramatic developments in West Asia culminating in President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire indicate that the worst of the conflict is behind us. 💼 The sharp reactions in crude oil and stock markets signal that geopolitical tensions are easing, and stability is returning. 💼 Nifty, which has been consolidating in the 24,500–25,000 range, is now set to decisively break out on the upside. 💼 Sustaining higher levels, however, will depend on progress in trade negotiations, particularly with the reciprocal tariff pause ending on July 9th. 💼 Positive developments on the trade front could act as the next major trigger for the market. 💼 Sectors such as paints, adhesives, tyres, and OMCs will benefit from the sharp fall in crude prices. On the flip side, ONGC and Oil India may come under pressure due to declining oil prices. 💼 Investors may now focus on reasonably valued domestic cyclicals like financials, aviation, telecom, and capital goods, which offer better safety and growth visibility. 💼 The improving macros and receding geopolitical risks provide an encouraging backdrop for calibrated accumulation in quality stocks. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

With crude oil hitting a 5-month high amid the escalating US-Iran-Israel conflict and rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, investors worldwide are increasingly worried. According to Geojit's Head Investment Strategist, Gaurang Shah, Indian markets could stabilize faster. He points out where smart investors should look now. In this latest Geojit Spotlight video, watch his expert market analysis and investment strategy for Banking, Finance, Capital Goods, Defence, Cement, Telecom, and FMCG. Plus, his two stock suggestions. For more about Global Investments: https://www.geojitifsc.com/Disclaimer: Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. We do not offer any product which gives guaranteed returns. The information is only for consumption by the client and such material should not be redistributed. #geojit #gaurangshah #geojitspotlight #stockmarket #marketanalysis #marketoutlook #investmentstrategy #globalmarkets #stockpicks #indianeconomy #investing #financialmarkets #sensex #nifty #economicnews #sectoranalysis #bankingstocks #wealthcreationstrategies #longterminvesting #portfoliomanagement #geojit #gaurangshah #geojitspotlight #stockmarket #marketanalysis #marketoutlook #investmentstrategy #globalmarkets #stockpicks #indianeconomy #investing #financialmarkets #sensex #nifty #economicnews #sectoranalysis #bankingstocks #wealthcreationstrategies #longterminvesting #portfoliomanagement

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💼 Even though the US bombing of Iran’s three nuclear facilities has worsened the crisis in West Asia, the impact on the market is likely to be limited. 💼 The uncertain factor now is the timing and nature of the Iranian response. 💼 If Iran targets and damages the US defence facilities in the region or hurts US military personnel seriously, the US response can be huge and this might further worsen the crisis. 💼 But the market assessment is that there are limits to what Iran can do against the US and Israel. 💼 That’s why the early market responses – crude prices, US futures, and the absence of panic in Asian markets – have been muted. 💼 Even though the possibility of the closure of Hormuz Strait is a threat, it is important to understand that this has always been only a threat and the Strait had never been closed. 💼 The fact is that the closure of Hormuz Strait will harm Iran and Iran’s friend China more than anyone else. 💼 The market construct continues to favour a ‘buy on dips’ strategy. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

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💼 Nifty, which has been trading within the 24,500–25,000 range for about a month, is likely to remain within this range in the near term. 💼 A breakout above 25,000 is possible if positive news emerges, such as a de-escalation or abrupt end to the Israel-Iran conflict. 💼 The downside is well protected, with strong buying interest from domestic institutions likely to emerge on dips. However, if the conflict lingers and crude rises above $85, there is a chance the lower band of 24,500 could be tested. 💼 A key trend observed in the last trading session was the weakness in the broader market, particularly in SMIDs (Small and Midcaps), with the smallcap index falling 2%. This indicates a shift in sentiment due to valuation concerns and global risk-off mood. 💼 The ongoing correction in SMIDs may continue, driven by their stretched valuations and rising volatility. This phase could see a healthy rotation of funds into fairly valued, fundamentally strong largecaps, especially in financials, industrials, autos, and real estate. 💼 Investors can adopt a selective and cautious approach, focusing on quality and stability while using dips as opportunities in largecap space. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

💼 The 24,500–25,000 range for the Nifty is likely to hold steady unless we see a major shift in news from the Israel-Iran conflict. 💼 Any signs of de-escalation can lead to a breakout above the 25,000 mark, signaling renewed strength. 💼 On the flip side, an escalation involving the Strait of Hormuz that causes a spike in crude could challenge the 24,500 support level. 💼 Investors should keep an eye on developments in West Asia, as they will guide the next move. 💼 The Fed’s decision and commentary came on expected lines, with Jerome Powell noting that the US economy remains “in a solid position” despite uncertainties. 💼 His caution that “tariff effects on inflation can be persistent” suggests that immediate rate cuts may not be on the table. 💼 The Fed’s dot plot still shows two rate cuts in 2025, which keeps the longer-term outlook constructive. 💼 With the US economy expected to grow just 1.4% this year, capital flows may tilt in favour of EMs like India. 💼 However, for a sustained rally, the Indian market needs more clarity on earnings growth. 💼 Until then, valuations will limit upside, but the medium-term structure remains supportive for investors staying selectively invested. . . . #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets #StockMarket #Inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets